In a recent appearance on CNBC, Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner said that the Obama Administration would support taxing long term capital gains and dividends at a top rate of twenty percent.
If Congress does nothing and the Bush tax cuts of earlier this decade expire on schedule, the long term capital gains rate will revert automatically to 20 percent at the end of the year (from the current 15 percent) while dividends would be taxed at income tax rates, perhaps as high as 39.5 percent by 2011 assuming the upper income Bush tax cuts are allowed to expire, which is a pretty safe bet.
Even this understates the case because of the recently enacted 3.8 percent Medicare tax on “unearned income” of so-called upper income taxpayers (above $250k) that will come into effect in 2013. Geithner did not include this in his remarks but in fact it means that, absent legislative action, by 2013 long term capital gains could be taxed at 23.8% and dividends above 40%. (more…)